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Combating GlobalizationInstitute · Est. 2011
Vol. XIV · No. 47 · Weekly Dispatch · Washington · London · Budapest · Sydney
Combating Globalization Institute
Vol. XIV · No. 38 Thursday, 14 March 2025
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This Week's Lead Finding

U.S. manufacturing payrolls in tariff-protected sectors grew 3.1% last quarter — the strongest signal since 2017 that selective trade defenses are reshaping onshore investment.

A cross-country analysis of 41 economies shows that targeted Section-301 style measures, combined with local-content procurement rules, are reversing a quarter-century of offshoring in steel, semiconductors, and pharmaceutical precursors.

United States Industrial Policy Cited 14× in this session
Read the brief →
A steel worker inspects a freshly cast beam at a domestic steel mill.
The Working Output

Latest from the Research Desk

Four briefs published this month, peer-reviewed by the Institute's editorial committee and ready for citation in committee testimony, op-eds, and parliamentary briefs.

  1. 01
    Germany Industrial Strategy 11 March 2025

    The Bundesverfassungsgericht's Carbon Border Ruling: A Reading for Federal Legislators

    A 38-page legal-economic brief explaining how the Karlsruhe ruling of 5 March reshapes the permissible scope of EU CBAM exemptions — and what a Bundestag response now looks like.

    Read the brief →
  2. 02
    United Kingdom Trade Policy 6 March 2025

    Post-Brexit Rules of Origin: Quantifying the Costs of the TCA's Cumulation Gap

    Drawing on the Offshoring Impact Database, we estimate that the Trade and Cooperation Agreement's restrictive cumulation rules have redirected £2.4 billion in component sourcing away from UK suppliers since 2021.

    Read the brief →
  3. 03
    Italy Sovereignty Framework 28 February 2025

    The Sovereignty First Framework: A Two-Year Audit of Adoption Across Europe

    Which parties kept their 2023 commitments, which diluted them in government, and what the next legislative cycle holds in Rome, Vienna, and Budapest.

    Read the brief →
  4. 04
    European Union Capital Flows 19 February 2025

    FDI Screening in Practice: A Cross-Jurisdiction Review of 14 Screening Regimes

    A scoring matrix — covering notification thresholds, call-in powers, and enforcement speed — for legislative staff drafting amendment language for the 2026 EU review.

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The Record

Parliamentary Citation Ledger

A running index of formal citations in the legislatures of the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, and Hungary — drawn from official Hansard, Bundestag protocols, and the EU Parliament registry. 63 citations in the last 24 months.

  • U.S. Congress
    House Ways and Means — Subcommittee on Trade
    Hearing on the Renewal of Section 301 Authority · 27 February 2025
    7 citations
  • Germany
    Bundestag — Ausschuss für Wirtschaft und Energie
    Public hearing on the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism amendment · 22 January 2025
    4 citations
  • France
    Assemblée Nationale — Commission des Affaires Économiques
    Examination of the Loi Industrie Verte implementation · 11 January 2025
    3 citations
  • Hungary
    Országgyűlés — Gazdasági Bizottság
    Sovereignty First Framework: two-year implementation review · 9 December 2024
    5 citations
A Statement of Method

On Open-Access Longitudinal Data

For more than a decade, the institute has maintained the world's largest open-access dataset on the wage and employment effects of offshoring. The Offshoring Impact Database covers 41 countries in quarterly resolution from 1995 to the present and is freely available to academic researchers, parliamentary staff, union economists, and trade-press journalists on a single signed terms-of-use agreement.

We make the data open because the alternative — keeping it locked inside paywalled academic journals — serves no one. The empirical record on offshoring should be checkable by the legislators whose votes turn that record into policy. When the German Economic Ministry wished to model the employment effects of CBAM in 2023, it used our series directly. When the United States Trade Representative prepared its Section-301 tariff review, the dataset was incorporated by reference. When the Italian Ministry of Enterprises revised its golden-power screening thresholds, our bilateral investment-flow tables appeared in the technical annex.

This is the institute's signature instrument, and it is the reason our briefs are cited: they are built on a foundation that anyone with a spreadsheet and a few weekends can audit for themselves.

— Marta El-Hassan
Director of Economic Research, London Office
Access the Offshoring Impact Database →
By the Numbers

The Institute at a Glance

14,200+
Individual members across 47 countries — the institute's only significant funder category
142
Published policy briefs since the institute's founding in 2011 in Washington, D.C.
63
Parliamentary citations on the record in the last 24 months across six legislatures
38%
Average open rate on the weekly Dispatch — sustained over the past 22 consecutive issues
The Dispatch

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